1
A stat that values how much a player increases their team's chance of scoring through their actions. Unlike xG, which only looks at shots, xT gives every zone on the pitch a threat value. Move the ball from a low-value zone to a high-value zone - through passes, carries, or dribbles - and you generate xT. Useful for rating midfielders and ball-playing defenders who progress play without necessarily shooting or assisting.
Bernardo Silva regularly ranks among the Premier League's top players for xT despite modest goal contributions - his ability to receive in tight spaces and drive the ball into the final third generates significant threat even without the end product showing in traditional stats.
Robbie
Jan 18, 2026
Have a different take?
Think there's another way to define Expected Threat (xT)? The Football Dictionary is built by the community — submit your own definition and let others vote on it.
Submit Your Definition